During the last few months, al-Shabaab, the al-Qaeda-affiliated Somali
group, has shattered some of the misconceptions many have about the critical
underpinnings of the group’s activities. Indeed, some writers, including
myself, have made assumptions about the militant group that are simply wrong.
Two myths stand out.
1. Al-Shabaab is divided into two factions: Global jihadists and local nationalists
The recent discord among al-Shabaab leadership, especially evident in the
bloody incident in Barawe in June 2013, resulted in two founders of the group
being killed, Ibrahim al-Afghani and Moalim Burhan, while Hassan
Dahir Aweys fell into the hands of the Somali government.
Al-Afghani, was an internationalist jihadi. Other leaders like Aweys,
Mukhtar Robow, and Moalim Burhan, were considered to be more local leaders than
global jihadists. In addition, two foreign jihadists — Osama al-Britani, a
British citizen of Pakistani origin, and the American-born Omar Hammami, also
known as Abu Mansoor al-Amriki — were killed in September 2013 by
loyalists of Ahmed Godane, the supreme leader of al-Shabaab.
The two foreigners, al-Britani and al-Amriki, had impeccable credentials as
global warriors. The nagging question is: Why would Godane, a man who is known
for his commitment
to global jihad, eliminate a group of fighters comprising global and
national jihadists?
The answer is simple: The conflict among al-Shabaab leaders is not about
whether to wage global jihad. It is mostly about personal rule — namely
Godane’s unbridled pursuit of total hegemony over the radical group. In
the end, the larger question about al-Shabaab boils down to not only about
global jihad or ideology, but rather is a simple issue of command and control.
2. Al-Shabaab is more lethal and effective now more than ever
We are told that al-Shabaab is ever cohesive and united, as demonstrated by
the terror group’s recent bombings in Mogadishu, and the attack on the Westgate
mall in the Kenyan capital Nairobi.
Yes, al-Shabaab was effective and daring in these bombings, but one has to
ask what enabled all these operations to take place in the first place?
In Somalia, the radical group has gotten a rare opportunity in the
government of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, whose security apparatus is weak
and corrupt.
A year ago, Mogadishu was a lot safer than it is today. According to a recent UN Monitoring Group report, al-Shabaab has infiltrated Mohamud’s administration especially the security and intelligence sectors.
A good illustration is the escape of al-Shabaab member Abdirahman Ali Abukar
on September 10 from Mogadishu’s central prison. The fugitive was arrested last
year for plotting to kill the country’s deputy head of the national army.
The Somali government has since arrested the prison warden and four
correction officers for possibly being bribed by the militant.
This means that as long as the Somali government is corrupt and ineffective,
there will be room for al-Shabaab to operate at will. This also means that
al-Shabaab is not becoming more cohesive; rather it is a reflection of the
government’s inadequacy. Any security lapse in the government is a boon for
al-Shabaab.
The attack on Westgate Mall in Nairobi was unique because of the preponderance of foreign jihadists in the operation.
If some of the reports are right, the language
of communication among the attackers was English, which means that Godane
has finally employed a division of labor tactic for his fighters: using
foreigners and foreign-born jihadists for operations outside Somalia, and
Somali-born fighters for operations within the country.
This division of labor appeases foreign jihadists who have been clamoring for some action for a while.
In short, al-Shabaab’s recent attacks can best be described as opportunities in security lapses and a strong commitment to remain relevant.
These bombings are cries from the militant group to be noticed once again,
to distract its fighters from the horrific killings of some of its own leaders
and foreign jihadists, and take the limelight away from Somali President
Mohamud’s recent diplomatic successes.
By Hassan M. Abukar. The article is reprinted with permission from Sahan Journal.
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