On August 23, 2017, the security forces of Galmudug, a regional
state in Somalia, arrested a man in his 60s who seemed suspicious. Fearing he
was an al-Shabaab fighter, regional security agents interrogated him. It turned
out he was Colonel Abdikarim Muse, a prominent figure in the Ogaden National
Liberation Front (ONLF)—a group seeking independence for the Somali-inhabited
region of Ethiopia—and he was visiting a sick relative. A few days later, Colonel
Muse was flown to Mogadishu, where he had lived since 2014, but this time he
was in handcuffs. On August 28, he was whisked out of Somalia and formally handed
over to Ethiopia. The news of his arrest and extradition to
Ethiopia created a political firestorm in Somalia and the diaspora. Protests
poured in regarding the Somali government’s action, and demonstrations broke out in certain
parts of the country. Moreover, the news went viral on social media.
What went wrong?
The nascent, seven months old Somali government under Mohamed Farmajo
found itself in a political quagmire that exposed serious fissures in government
circles, as well as poor crisis management, a dichotomy between Farmajo’s populism
and political realities, and the emergence of a detached president retreating
from crucial decision making.
The head of the Somali Intelligence Agency (NISA), Abdullahi
Sanbalooshe, emerged as the central figure in handing over the ONLF official.
His agents took over Muse’s case after the colonel was brought to Mogadishu. Later,
at a press conference, Prime Minister Hassan Kheyre was asked about Muse’s delivery
to Addis Ababa. The head of NISA interjected and said the matter was so “sensitive”
it would only be addressed in due time. The premier was visibly annoyed by the
interruption, but he chose not to say anything about the matter. It would take
two weeks before the government issued a statement about the case.
The security services in the country are still run by officials appointed
by the administration of former President Hassan Mohamoud, who was later defeated
by the current president. The current director of NISA, a former protégé of
President Mohamoud, was also the Minister of Security for the previous
administration. The security services have a long and close relationship with
Ethiopia and some Western countries. In fact, several Somali security branches have
been trained and funded by countries such as the United States, the United Arab
Emirates, and Qatar. Occasionally, some of these branches have fought against each other in
the streets of Mogadishu.
The Somali government gave conflicting accounts of Muse’s
extradition to Ethiopia. At first, some officials leaked suggestions that Colonel
Muse had willingly agreed to be taken to Ethiopia because he had negotiated
with Addis Ababa, and the Somali government had merely facilitated his transfer. A
representative of the ONLF denied this suggestion and accused President Farmajo and PM Kheyre of complicity in handing over a
Somali man to Ethiopia. Then, Ethiopia’s Information Minister declared that the
Somali government had handed Muse over to Addis Ababa because he belonged to what
he termed a terrorist group. The Somali government neither confirmed nor denied
this allegation. Later on September 6, the Somali Council of Ministers had a
meeting in which Muse’s case was retroactively discussed after he was already
in the hands of Ethiopia. Only one minister—fittingly, the Minister of Human
Affairs—opposed the transfer of Muse to Addis Ababa whereas two other ministers
(interior and transportation) abstained. Later, the Council held a press conference and acknowledged
Muse’s transfer to Ethiopia as “a legal step taken to remove a security threat,”
according to the Information Minister. Then came a bombshell: the minister accused
Colonel Muse of having a close relationship with al-Shabaab. To bolster the
government’s case, the minister said both Addis Ababa and Mogadishu signed an agreement
in 2015 in which the ONLF and al-Shabaab were designated as terrorist entities.
It was the first time in Somali history a Somali government official had called
the ONLF a terrorist group.
The government’s position on Colonel Muse drew howls of outrage
among some legislators and civil society leaders. First, the two former Somali
government officials who signed the reported agreements with Ethiopia denied
that the documents they had signed mentioned the ONLF. In an interview with the
VOA Somali Service, former Security Minister Abdikarim Hussein Guled and Mahad
Salad, a former State Minister for the Office of the Presidency, said the
agreements they had signed respectively, were between Ethiopia and a Somali regional
state (Galmudug). “The agreement cannot be used as a justification for handing
over Muse over to Ethiopia,” said Guled, “because it had nothing to do with the
ONLF or the exchange of criminals or prisoners.” Furthermore, these agreements
were never ratified by the Somali parliament.
Limitations of Farmajo’s
nationalist platform
President Farmajo was elected on a nationalist platform and defeated
an incumbent who was heavily favored by Ethiopia. It became apparent that
Farmajo’s strength was also his major weakness. His call for the sovereignty of
Somalia and unity among Somalis became mere
rhetoric as he did what he once accused of his predecessor of doing: kowtowing
to neighboring countries such as Ethiopia. Farmajo may have opted to stay neutral
in the Gulf crisis between Saudi Arabia and Qatar, but Ethiopia is a different
beast. Calls for his resignation grew louder, as he was perceived as a leader
who had the gall to send a Somali citizen to Ethiopia. The Somali provisional
constitution prohibits handing over any Somali to a foreign country. Moreover,
Colonel Muse was a military officer in the Somali national army and even fought
against Ethiopia during the 1977-1978 Somali-Ethiopian War. Colonel Muse had
also lived in Mogadishu for the past three years and belonged to a liberation
movement that has been dormant for many years. Only Ethiopia regards the group
as terrorists; in other words, critics of the Somali government questioned the
validity of the argument that ONLF posed a security threat to either Somalia or
Ethiopia. The group has never been accused of bombings in Somalia, and the last
bombing by the group in Ethiopia was on November 28, 2006. In 2009, the group
claimed to have captured seven towns, but the Ethiopian government spokesman denied this and called the
group’s claim “simply the desperate act of a dying force.”
President Farmajo has yet to address the Muse incident. There are
conflicting reports that his prime minister and the head of the intelligence
service misinformed him, or that he was totally in the dark over the
negotiations. Others say that the president delegates too much responsibility
to others, and thus, was not party to the decision concerning Muse. Critics say
Farmajo lives a cloistered existence in Villa Somalia,
the seat of government. The prime minister and the head of intelligence took
the lead in managing the affairs. Since the political storm started brewing, Farmajo
has simply vanished from the public scene, except for a brief appearance at
Lido Beach, Mogadishu, where he played soccer with some youngsters
and drank tea with them. He spoke to the youth about other issues and
deliberately evaded any discussion of Muse. Although it is difficult to gauge
the extent of opposition to Farmajo’s handling of the incident, there have also
been scattered voices that have defended him and applauded him for handing Muse
over to Ethiopia. These supporters have equated any criticism of Farmajo to
what they derisively call “Qaran-dumis”
(Nation-Destroying). However, some members of parliament have vowed to hold
hearings about the matter.
Contrary to what the Somali Information Minister said, al-Shabaab
has denied having any relationship with Colonel Muse. An Ethiopian official has
praised the head of the Somali National Intelligence Agency for handing Muse
over to Addis Ababa, but refrained from doing the same for President Farmajo
and PM Kheyre. The government’s strategy of keeping silent for two weeks after
the incident and then later denouncing Muse as a terrorist did not go well with
the public, and dented Farmajo’s reputation as a nationalist. There have been
calls for the president to come clean regarding the matter, and to admit that egregious
mistakes were made. Others have called for PM Kheyre and the head of the intelligence
services to be fired. It is not clear what Farmajo will do, but members of the Somali
parliament have vowed to investigate the matter further, which makes it seem as
if the incident will continue to spiral out of control. Farmajo may survive this
storm as president, but his administration is incrementally losing the public’s
vote of confidence. Either way, a political scandal may loom larger than
expected.
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