Monday, January 20, 2014

Somalia's New Cabinet: Business as Usual

The new cabinet appointed by Prime Minister Abdiweli Shaikh Ahmed on January 17 has been raising  uproar. The naming of a cabinet has been perhaps the most grueling process in recent Somali history. The president was heavily involved in the selection of the appointees and his prints are all over. Some of the hopefuls were promised positions—others were even invited to Mogadishu—only to be rejected in the eleventh hour. The new cabinet was announced in the wee hours at 2 AM. The dramatic responses have already begun and protestations are being heard from all corners: the cabinet is too big; two of the appointees resigned the same day of the announcement; women are upset for being marginalized; some clans are up in arms; groups like Ahlu Sunnah Wal Jama have vowed to boycott the federal government; Dammul Jadiid is monopolizing power; and too many inexperienced persons are in the cabinet. The features of this new cabinet are as follows:

Size: This cabinet is big. It has 25 ministers, 25 deputy ministers, and five state ministers. The previous cabinet was unusually lean with only ten ministers, however, this one is unnecessarily large, and is a clear manifestation of a bloated government. In reality, all of these appointed ministers are merely officials by name. Many have no basic infrastructure such as offices, nor do they possess the necessary manpower that should go with their big titles.  
Resignations: The most embarrassing moment for the president and the prime minister was when two deputy minister appointees, including the Mayor of Mogadishu, resigned in protest of what they called the “lowly” positions they were given. Mogadishu mayor, Mohamoud Ahmed Nur “Tarzan” called for an immediate press conference in which he said he had not been consulted about the position. “I will not accept the position of a minister,” he declared, “let alone a deputy minister.”

Tarzan’s appointment as deputy minister was humiliating and purely Machiavellian on the part of President Hassan Sh. Mohamoud. The president could have replaced Tarzan quietly with another mayor, but he had neither the courage nor the decorum to ask Tarzan to resign. It is the president, after all, who appoints the mayor of Mogadishu. Perhaps, either Ali “Amerika” (the Somali ambassador to Kenya) or Abdirahman “Yariisow,” (the government spokesman), might replace Tarzan. That is, unless the president comes up with another option in the last minute.  The president wanted to humiliate Tarzan publicly and he got his wish. Now, it is unlikely that Tarzan will last in his current position.  Tarzan, a man of an outsized ego, finally got his match in the president. One wonders how the president and his prime minister managed to appoint individuals to these positions without first consuling with them. It is, at best, sheer unprofessionalism.

Women: President Mohamud’s earlier promises to give women equal representation in the government have hit a snag. The new cabinet has only two women out of 25 (5%). This is a downgrade from the last cabinet in terms of percentage (20%) which had two women in powerful posts out of ten. One of the newly appointed ministers has been given the traditional portfolio of women’s affairs, and the other has been promoted from deputy minister in the ministry of public works to full minister. There are two new female deputy ministers out of 25 and no female state ministers. Mohamoud has alienated many groups and clans, but his alienation of women, who represent half of the population, is tragic.
Dammul Jadiid: This secretive but powerful group is still occupying key positions. There are more than a dozen appointees in the cabinet that belong to Dammul Jadiid, including the new deputy prime minister and minister of religion. Traditionally, deputy prime ministers are chosen from key posts such as finance, foreign affairs or defense.  The new deputy prime minister has all of the qualifications that President Mohamoud likes: he is inexperienced, a member of Dammul Jadiid, and hails from the north. Dammul Jadiid’s naked power grab is now in epic proportions.

Farah Abdulkadir, the architect of President Mohamoud’s election, was appointed as Minister of Justice and Constitution. This is a clear indication that President Mohamoud is already laying the ground work for his re-election in 2016. Abdulkadir is the right man to help Mohamoud influence future amendments of the provisional constitution.
Abdikarim Hussein Guled, another stalwart of Dammul Jadiid, is also back as the minister of national security. This new position is usurpation from the interior ministry, which is traditionally responsible for the police and intelligence services. Guled now is the new chief of security and intelligence, and he has his own ministry.

Jamal Barrow, deputy foreign minister, and Mohamed Nur Gacal, state minister for foreign affairs, two Dammul Jadiid figures, were not so fortunate. Barrow is replaced by another colleague of his in the group. Gacal was slated to be a minister of education, yet his contentious relationship with Foreign Minister Fowzia Yusuf ended up hurting him. Mohamoud decided to leave these two out of the new cabinet. “My friend,” the president has told Gacal, according to a source, “I am sorry, but you will not be in the cabinet.”

Inexperience: Inexperience is a major feature of the new cabinet. Unfortunately, many of the appointees are inexperienced in government affairs. Many were brought there not because of their qualifications but instead for their clan credentials. This has been the hallmark of President Mohamoud’s administration: to avoid qualified and educated people who might overshadow him. Mohamoud’s selection of two prime ministers in the span of a year who are remarkable for their inexperience is a good example of what kind of cabinet the president desires.
Sharif Sakiin: After Dammul Jadiid, the second big beneficiary of the new cabinet is Sharif Hassan “Sakiin,” former speaker of the parliament. He has at least six of his allies appointed as ministers, state ministers and deputy ministers. President Mohamoud has struck an unholy alliance with the controversial former speaker and future leader of what is now proposed as the South West state. Sakiin has become a king-maker, and was instrumental in gaining votes for Mohamoud in the parliament during the ousting of PM Shirdon.
 
The new cabinet will be confirmed in due time, but it would be unrealistic to expect any miracles from these ministers. For the time being, it will be business as usual: the president will keep running the show from Villa Somalia, and the new ministers will obey his marching orders. They will retain their fancy titles and fat paychecks. In my estimation, though, they will be lucky if they last more than a year.

 

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